Social Leverage Letter | Issue #59

Valuation Compression in Software, Higher Valuations in AI, Labor Hoarding, and Building Enduring Media Companies

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READING

How Low Could Valuations Go?

On the public side, software valuations continue to compress. Multiples are now below 2016 levels. With the Fed hell-bent on raising rates, how low will forward multiples fall?

High Valuations for Early Stage Deals

Despite the fear, uncertainty and doubt, investors are funneling their energy and money into early stage AI. Competition is keeping prices high.

Labor Hoarding

We've heard a lot about 'quiet quitting' over the past few months. Now, 'labor hoarding' is creeping back into the lexicon. What is it, what does it mean for the economy going forward, and for startups in particular?

LISTENING

Panic with Friends

Dave Finocchio and Howard have a wide-ranging conversation on what it was like to found the Bleacher Report (acquired for +200M), and Dave’s latest attempt at building a mainstream climate brand.

Dave Finocchio of The Cool Down on Building Enduring Media Companies (EP.223)

Listen to this episode from Panic with Friends - Howard Lindzon on Spotify. I’m excited to have my new friend Dave Finocchio on the podcast. I met Dave on my golf trip to Ireland, and we hit it off on the long bus ride. He stands out because he’s focused and insanely smart. He’s the founder of the Bleacher Report, which was acquired for north of $200M, and is now working on The Cool Down – his attempt to build the world’s first mainstream climate brand. Dave’s taken everything he’s learned in sports and media over the years and is applying it to climate change. We have a wide-ranging conversation on what it was like to start a media company back in the day, and what it takes now. We discuss new trends that are emerging in media, like TikTok, his investment in 5-Iron Golf, and a whole lot more. Enjoy! Guest - Dave Finocchio, Co-Founder & CEO at The Cool Down, Founder of Bleacher Report howardlindzon.com, thecooldown.com Twitter: @howardlindzon, @PanicwFriends, @DaveFinocchio, @knutjensen linkedin.com/in/dave-finocchio-90b2a93 #fintech #invest #investment #venturecapital #stockmarket #finance Show Notes: Introduction (00:40) Welcome Dave (05:44) Golf courses in Ireland (08:42) The Cool Down (09:58) Content needs to resonate (12:33) Bringing in co-founders (13:27) Dealing with founder burnout (17:25) Flash back to the Bleacher report (21:38) Seed rounds back in the day (29:54) The end of an era (33:56) NFL Draft expert Matt Miller (35:45) Dave’s thoughts on parenting (37:29) Would he do sports media again? (39:05) Sports betting (41:02) Thoughts on TikTok (42:15) Growth - The Cool Down (46:20) Investments: Behave Candy (47:46) Investments: 5-Iron Golf (47:57) Bullish on golf (52:17) Closing thoughts (53:02)

Infinite Loops

David Senra is the creator of the Founders podcast. In this episode he talks about his success studying entrepreneurs throughout history, and the common themes he’s discovered that can provide insights for today’s budding founders.

David Senra — Pick The Right Heroes (EP.127)

Listen to this episode from Infinite Loops on Spotify. “To get me stop, they’re going to have to pry the microphone out of my cold dead hand”. Hot on the heels of his hugely popular appearance on ‘Invest Like The Best’, David Senra joins a marathon episode of Infinite Loops to discuss obsession, education, optimism, podcasting, and so much more. Unsurprisingly, this one is not to be missed. Important Links: Founders Podcast Founders on Colossus David’s Twitter David’s Substack Runnin’ Down a Dream - Bill Gurley Show Notes: David’s grandfather, refugees, and risk-taking Why reading history raises our ambition Obsession and genetics Why founders are the most important people in the world Our failing education system “To get me to stop, they’re going to have to pry the microphone out of my cold dead hand” “Don’t do anything that somebody else can do” Societal responses to change, predicting the future The benefits of small teams “Plan B should be to make plan A work” Optimism, risk and the bridge of nihilism Why you need to start a podcast “History doesn’t repeat, human nature does” AI and art The internet is the greatest variance amplifier in history “You can’t fake passion” Infinite networks Luck, burnout, learning and excuses “Don’t be surprised if your best idea comes 30 to 40 years into your career” The blueprint for a great day Pick the right heroes Books Mentioned: Am I Being Too Subtle?: Straight Talk From a Business Rebel; by Sam Zell The Sugar King of Havana: The Rise and Fall of Julio Lobo, Cuba's Last Tycoon; by John Paul Rathbone The Hypomaniac Edge: The Link Between (A Little) Craziness and (A Lot of) Success in America; by John D. Gartner One Summer: America, 1927; by Bill Bryson Reluctant Genius: The Passionate Life and Inventive Mind of Alexander Graham Bell; by Charlotte Gray Born of this land : my life story; by Chung Ju-yung Shoe Dog; by Phil Knight Pulitzer: A Life in Politics, Print, and Power; by James McGrath Morris Only the Paranoid Survive: How to Exploit the Crisis Points That Challenge Every Company; by Andrew S. Grove Time to Make the Donuts: The Founder of Dunkin Donuts Shares an American Journey; by William Rosenberg Creativity, Inc.: Overcoming the Unseen Forces That Stand in the Way of True Inspiration; by Ed Catmull The Tao Te Ching; by Laozi My Life & Work - An Autobiography of Henry Ford; by Henry Ford One from Many: VISA and the Rise of Chaordic Organization; by Dee Hock Zanies: The world’s greatest eccentrics; by Jay Robert Nash

DEAL SPOTLIGHT

Highlighting interesting seed rounds from around the globe:

Fintech Startup Arch Raises Oversubscribed $5M Seed Round, Aims to Become “the Blackrock of Web3”

Decentralized finance (DeFi) asset manager Arch announced the closing of an oversubscribed $5 million seed round. DCG and Upload Ventures led the round, with participation from Soma Capital, GBV, Devlabs, Ripio Ventures, Platanus Ventures, and other notable angel investors.

Arch’s platform provides investors passive exposure to digital assets by buying a basket of crypto assets through a single token, much like buying an ETF in traditional finance.

"Arch develops tokenized index-products, which dramatically simplify how people can build and manage a well-diversified crypto portfolio, saving time and energy," said Arch CEO Christopher Storaker.

Users interact with smart contracts to buy tokens that track indexes constructed by the firm’s research arm, Arch Intelligence. Their proprietary Arch Token Classification Standard (ATCS) that tracks more than 1,000 classified tokens is an industry first, according to a company release.

The company is building passive investment vehicles using web3 principles: the platform is permissionless, does not provide individualized advice, and its tokens are self-custodied.

WEB3 ROUNDUP

News on Crypto/web3:

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